Padres vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 30

Padres vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2025 4:00 p.m. ET

Pete Alonso and the New York Mets are set to face off against the San Diego Padres and their starting pitcher Yu Darvish on Wednesday. The game is scheduled to start at 4:10 p.m. ET at PETCO Park what is land preparation in agriculture. In this matchup, the Padres are the favorites with a moneyline of -120, while the Mets sit at -100. New York is favored on the run line at -1.5 with +164 odds. The total runs for the game have been set at 8.5.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective for this Padres-Mets game, covering the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks. Stay updated with MLB action on FOX Sports.

Padres vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 30, 2025, at 4:10 p.m. ET

Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California

How to watch on TV: MLB Network, SDPA, and SNY

Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line Favorite | Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds

Padres -120 | Mets -100 | 8.5 | -105 | -115 | -1.5 | -200 | +164

Padres vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 6, Mets 5

Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs

Win Probabilities: Padres 52%, Mets 48%

Padres vs. Mets Betting Insights

This season, the Padres have been favored 55 times, winning 32 of those games, which is 58.2%. They hold a record of 29-20 in matches where they were favored by at least -120 on the moneyline. The bookmakers’ moneyline suggests a 54.5% chance of victory for the Padres.

Meanwhile, the Mets have succeeded in 13 out of 32 games when labeled as underdogs this season, achieving a win rate of 40.6%. New York has emerged victorious in eight out of 21 games when pegged at -100 or worse on the moneyline, giving them an implied victory probability of 50% for this matchup.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

The Padres have been favored on the moneyline in four of their last 10 games, resulting in a 2-2 record in those matchups. Across their last 10 games, they and their opponents have combined to go over the total four times. The Padres also have a 6-4 record against the spread (ATS) during this span.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat | Avg/Total

Record: 6-4

Runs Per Game: 4.8

Home Runs: 7

ERA: 3.03

Strikeouts Per 9 Innings: 7.1

Padres Player Insights

Manny Machado leads the Padres with 20 home runs, 69 RBIs, and boasts a team-best batting average of .301. dealt in tagalog In the majors, Machado ranks 22nd in home runs and 15th in RBIs. He enters this game on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .436 over his last 10 outings, with five doubles, two home runs, three walks, and nine RBIs. geek slate dota 2 roster

Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .269 with 18 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs, and 59 walks, while Xander Bogaerts holds a batting average of . pba update score terrafirma dyip roster 2023267, recording 24 doubles and seven home runs.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games, winning two of those contests. In their last 10 games with a total, they and their opponents combined to go over three times. The Mets have maintained a record of 5-5 ATS in their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat | Avg/Total

Record: 7-3

Runs Per Game: 4.3

Home Runs: 10

ERA: 3.37

Strikeouts Per 9 Innings: 8.5

Mets Player Insights

Juan Soto is the Mets’ home-run leader with 25, ranking 10th in the league. Alonso follows with 81 RBIs and hits .261, placing him 17th in home runs and sixth in RBIs across MLB players this year.

Conclusion

As the game approaches, both teams will be looking to gain an edge. Can the Padres extend their winning ways, or will the Mets prove to be the stronger team on the field?